Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 1.654051 1.908388 2.183064 2.501041 2.858264 3.246429 3.699358
2024-10-27 1.264374 1.617326 2.032271 2.552798 3.184718 3.923220 4.847479
2024-11-03 0.994293 1.395209 1.903291 2.586446 3.471886 4.570770 6.026318
2024-11-10 0.793083 1.210950 1.777547 2.587451 3.698263 5.148983 7.163731
2024-11-17 0.633419 1.046742 1.643317 2.544763 3.845074 5.620988 8.190487
2024-11-24 0.510256 0.908777 1.518628 2.488421 3.952655 6.033909 9.155909
2024-12-01 0.430957 0.821958 1.452797 2.502641 4.152531 6.580245 10.336466
2024-12-08 0.361262 0.736717 1.374243 2.482191 4.290231 7.037624 11.411386
2024-12-15 0.319280 0.691430 1.352718 2.546472 4.559191 7.703179 12.831177
2024-12-22 0.275601 0.634350 1.301583 2.552339 4.729800 8.223596 14.057011
2024-12-29 0.253442 0.614982 1.314266 2.667713 5.088215 9.059738 15.820368
2025-01-05 0.230729 0.590085 1.312530 2.755166 5.403231 9.842380 17.539915
2025-01-12 0.197378 0.537178 1.251944 2.731849 5.530712 10.338698 18.851847
2025-01-19 0.176347 0.508126 1.235331 2.790745 5.811658 11.114204 20.676675
2025-01-26 0.156189 0.476928 1.209658 2.828467 6.056072 11.842365 22.465112
2025-02-02 0.136084 0.441319 1.168926 2.830174 6.231033 12.457998 24.094267
2025-02-09 0.115772 0.400219 1.109243 2.784318 6.307936 12.900272 25.443097
2025-02-16 0.097713 0.360687 1.046584 2.723536 6.347677 13.273852 26.686643
2025-02-23 0.086263 0.337616 1.019971 2.738964 6.541852 13.943767 28.495964
2025-03-02 0.074623 0.310772 0.979356 2.716878 6.654502 14.463519 30.054107
2025-03-09 0.068337 0.299746 0.978063 2.786380 6.965491 15.379766 32.387920
2025-03-16 0.060359 0.280677 0.951986 2.792726 7.139164 16.035987 34.262945
2025-03-23 0.057290 0.278572 0.972886 2.917404 7.583100 17.251185 37.256168